It is a week to pay attention to the forecast as temperatures dip, soar then dip again bringing the chance for a wintry mix to north-central North Carolina by week’s end.
Light, spotty rain was falling in the Triangle on Monday morning. Rainfall is expected to become heavier in the afternoon and temps are expected to stay in the 40s all day.
About a half an inch to three quarters of an inch of rain could fall throughout the day.
“This could be the biggest rainfall event we’ve seen in weeks,” WRAL meteorologist Elizabeth Gardner said. “It’s going to be an all-day kind of soaker event.”
The heaviest rainfall should be done by Monday evening, but a few spotty showers will remain possible on your Monday evening commute.
While the bulk of the rain event will be Monday, some precipitation could carry over into the Tuesday morning commute.
Temperature change this week
Meteorologist Aimee Wilmoth said temperatures will range dramatically from north to south of the Triangle.
A warm-front will arrive to the north, which will impact the temperatures in that area.
“It’s really just going to depend on how far north this warm-front goes as to how high your temperatures are going to climb,” Wilmoth said.
By Tuesday afternoon, upper 60s are possible south of the Triangle and mid-40s up to the north. In the Triangle, it will be in the low 40s and upper 50s.
“Tuesday, the temperatures are very interesting. A warm-front means that temperatures are going to vary rather dramatically,” said Wilmoth.
Possibility for wintry mix?
After a cloudy day Wednesday, a cold front arrives, bringing precipitation. There’s a possibility for some wintry mix on Thursday in North Carolina’s northern counties on Thursday.
An upper level disturbance off the coast at the end of the week will allow winds to move in from the north, which means any moisture in the atmosphere could transition to a wintry mix.
“With those kinds of systems, we just don’t really have a big kind of snow event,” explained Wilmoth.
In Raleigh, the WRAL Severe Weather Center forecast calls for scattered showers and temperatures in the 40s.
As of now, it looks too warm for the Triangle to get any wintry precipitation. Most of the central North Carolina will just get a cold rain.
“This week is really a wild weather forecast. We have up-and-down temperatures, we have sunshine, we have rain, we have, perhaps, some wintry weather as well,” said Wilmoth.